{"id":32507,"date":"2020-08-12T12:51:59","date_gmt":"2020-08-12T09:51:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=32507"},"modified":"2020-08-12T12:51:59","modified_gmt":"2020-08-12T09:51:59","slug":"kurtulus-altun-menkullesme-kaydilesme-kisi-basi-gsyh-25-bin-dolar-cikarir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=32507","title":{"rendered":"Kurtulu\u015f Altun: Menkulle\u015fme, kaydile\u015fme ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 GSYH 25 bin dolar \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>GABORAS CEO\u2019su Kurtulu\u015f Altun:\u00a0<\/strong><strong>\u2018\u2018MENKULLE\u015eME, KAYD\u0130LE\u015eME K\u0130\u015e\u0130 BA\u015eI GSYH 25 B\u0130N DOLARA \u00c7IKARIR\u2019\u2019\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Son 20 y\u0131lda gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 34 milyon al\u0131m sat\u0131m i\u015flemi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ve bu sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n toplam\u0131n\u0131n bilan\u00e7olara 933 milyar dolar olarak i\u015flendi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen GABORAS CEO\u2019su Kurtulu\u015f Altun, ancak big data teknolojisiyle yapt\u0131klar\u0131 tespitlere g\u00f6re asl\u0131nda toplam sat\u0131\u015f hacminin 2.8 trilyon dolar oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.Gayrimenkul\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin petrol\u00fc oldu\u011funu ifade eden ve bir an \u00f6nce kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ilmesi gerekti\u011finin \u00fczerinden duran Altun, \u201cYapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm ve izleme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor ki, sekt\u00f6rde ya\u015fanacak bilan\u00e7ola\u015fma ve menkulle\u015fmeyle birlikte, kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ortan kalkarsa Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019da (GSYH) ya\u015fanan orta gelir tuza\u011f\u0131 bozularak ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen milli gelir 25 bin dolara \u00e7\u0131kabilir\u201d diye konu\u015fuyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn teknoloji ve g\u00fcvenli ticaret platformu GABORAS, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn son 20 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 mercek alt\u0131na ald\u0131. 2000-2020 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 34 milyon al\u0131m \u2013 sat\u0131m i\u015flemi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ve bu say\u0131n\u0131n bilan\u00e7olara 933 milyar dolar olarak i\u015flendi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen GABORAS CEO\u2019su Kurtulu\u015f Altun, yapt\u0131klar\u0131 big data \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmlerine g\u00f6re ise 20 y\u0131lda bilan\u00e7o i\u00e7i ve d\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlerle birlikte toplam hacmin ger\u00e7ekte 2.8 trilyon dolar oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Bu kadar devasa bir sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn t\u00fcm\u00fcyle bilan\u00e7ola\u015fmas\u0131 ve menkulle\u015fmesi halinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik olarak s\u0131\u00e7rayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 2023 hedeflerine ula\u015fmas\u0131nda bunun en b\u00fcy\u00fck etken olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen Altun,\u201cBu devasa g\u00fc\u00e7 bizim petrol\u00fcm\u00fcz. Ona ula\u015fmak hem teknoloji hem de veri, g\u00fcven ve \u015feffafl\u0131k gerektiriyor.Engelleyen, k\u0131s\u0131tlayan sistem d\u0131\u015f\u0131na atan her t\u00fcrl\u00fc k\u0131s\u0131tlar kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda petrol\u00fc olan vergisiz \u00fclke cenneti haline geliriz\u201d diye konu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n<p>2020\u2019nin ilk 6 ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen 624 bin konut takas i\u015fleminin bu veriyi do\u011frular nitelikte oldu\u011funu belirten Altun, \u201cD\u00fc\u015fen kredi faizlerine ra\u011fmen konut takas i\u015flemlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu nakit piyasa \u00fczerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Toplam gayrimenkul i\u015flem takas say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 1 milyon 56 bin oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse piyasa nakit i\u015flem pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczdesi daha y\u00fcksek orandad\u0131r\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n escrow (emanet) hesap y\u00f6ntemiyle kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti\u011fini, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de kredi ve teminatlar\u0131n de\u011ferde ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 de\u011fil birle\u015fmesi gerekti\u011fini, bunun GABORAS taraf\u0131nda yap\u0131labilece\u011fini aktaran Altun, GABORAS\u2019\u0131n d\u00fcnyada giderek yayg\u0131nla\u015fan g\u00fcvenilir olan bu sistemini, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dijital teknolojik yat\u0131r\u0131mlarlave 18 \u015fehirde ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131DAV PROJES\u0130 ile \u00fclke sath\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>KAYD\u0130LE\u015eMEK \u015eART<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dijital okuryazarl\u0131k, yerel ve global ticaret a\u011flar\u0131 ve 18 pilot \u015fehirde ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 DAV (Sahadan Veri Do\u011frulama)\u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ile GABORAS, yereldeki sekt\u00f6r temsilcileriyle veri do\u011frulama \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 derinle\u015ftirdi. Y\u0131ld\u0131z Teknopark\u2019ta dijital yeteneklere yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar neticesinde big-data, yapay zeka ve block-chain teknolojileri kullan\u0131larak bir ekosistem olu\u015fturan GABORAS, ihtisasla\u015fm\u0131\u015f teknolojik yap\u0131s\u0131yla gayrimenkul alan\u0131nda 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k izleme ve \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmler ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalara g\u00f6re; menkulle\u015fmeyle birlikte Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019da (GSYH) ya\u015fanan orta gelir tuza\u011f\u0131 bozularak ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen milli gelir 25 bin dolara \u00e7\u0131kartabilecek potansiyele sahip oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. GABORAS\u2019\u0131n big-data teknolojileriyle bu tespitleri yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Kurtulu\u015f Altun, gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde sadece ekonominin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu 8 y\u0131lda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen kay\u0131t i\u00e7i ve kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ticaretin toplam 1.2 trilyon dolar oldu\u011funu ancak bu rakam\u0131n bilan\u00e7olara 416 milyar dolar olarak yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor. Altun \u201cT\u00fcm darbo\u011fazlara kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrk ekonomisi ve piyasalar\u0131n nakdi kayna\u011f\u0131, gayri-nakdi varl\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z oldu. Bu sekt\u00f6r ya\u015fanan t\u00fcm olumsuzluklar\u0131 canl\u0131 takas ticareti ile 14.7 milyon i\u015flemle s\u00fcspanse ediyor. \u00d6l\u00e7\u00fcmlerde gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde kaydile\u015fmi\u015f ticaretin GSYH\u2019daki yeri y\u00fczde 7.1 iken, bu oran kaydile\u015fmeyen ekonominin de hesaplara kat\u0131lmas\u0131yla y\u00fczde 22\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n<p>Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00a0<strong>imalat, ticaret, teminat<\/strong>\u00a0s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin farkl\u0131 ele al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen Altun, konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u0130n\u015faat gayrimenkul\u00fcn sadece imalat a\u015famas\u0131n\u0131 temsil ediyor. Ancak bunun imalat sonras\u0131 boyutlar\u0131 hacimsel olarak \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck. Kullan\u0131mlar, tasarruflar yat\u0131r\u0131mlar,kiralamalar i\u015fletmeler, sat\u0131\u015f takas ve devirler, menkulle\u015fmeleri bu alanda.Bu d\u00fcnyada da b\u00f6yledir ki, toplam petrol ticaretinin iki kat\u0131d\u0131r. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn bizde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 GABORAS Sat\u0131\u015f \u0130\u015flem De\u011fer Skoru (S\u0130DS) ve Sat\u0131\u015f Birim De\u011fer Skoru (SBDS) \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmlerinden analiz edebiliyoruz.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>SEKT\u00d6R \u00c7ALKANTILARA D\u0130REN\u00c7 G\u00d6STER\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>20 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7te i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da ya\u015fanan ekonomik ve siyasi tehditler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirten Altun, konuyla ilgili \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulunuyor:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGABORAS SBDS izlemeleri neticesinde 2001 krizi sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndan alt\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r at\u0131lmas\u0131yla desteklendi. 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda en zirve noktas\u0131ndan sonra d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fanan 2008 ekonomik krizi ile y\u00fczde 9 oran\u0131nda bask\u0131land\u0131. Bu bask\u0131 deyim yerindeyse \u2018te\u011fet ge\u00e7ti\u2019 ve 2010 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 27\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f trendi devam etti. Ergenekon s\u00fcre\u00e7leri ile y\u00fczde 9\u2019luk bir gerileme ya\u015fansa da Gezi Park\u0131 eylemlerine kadar y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik bir s\u0131\u00e7ramay\u0131 \u00e7ok net bir \u015fekilde analiz edebiliyoruz. Yabanc\u0131 ilgisini kesen ve y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini durduran Gezi Park\u0131 olaylar\u0131 sonras\u0131 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 dura\u011fan seyretse de 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 Hain Darbe Giri\u015fimi ile y\u00fczde 28\u2019lik bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fand\u0131. Darbe giri\u015fiminin etkisinin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik toparlanma s\u00fcrecine girildi\u011fi esnada Trump\u2019\u0131n tehditleri ekonomideki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc y\u00fczde 18 oran\u0131nda h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. Tepki y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00fczde 9 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. T\u00fcm bu s\u00fcre\u00e7lerde T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin kay\u0131tl\u0131 kay\u0131ts\u0131z i\u00e7 dinami\u011finin \u00fcretti\u011fi de\u011fer petrol gibidir. Y\u0131lda ortalama 2 milyon i\u015flemin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ile birlikte olu\u015fan hacimsel de\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Bu de\u011ferin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn bilan\u00e7o d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurursak, sekt\u00f6rde ya\u015fanacak bilan\u00e7ola\u015fma ve menkulle\u015fme ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik olarak hak etti\u011fi yerlere gelmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacakt\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GABORAS CEO\u2019su Kurtulu\u015f Altun:\u00a0\u2018\u2018MENKULLE\u015eME, KAYD\u0130LE\u015eME K\u0130\u015e\u0130 BA\u015eI GSYH 25 B\u0130N DOLARA \u00c7IKARIR\u2019\u2019\u00a0Son 20 y\u0131lda gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 34 milyon al\u0131m sat\u0131m i\u015flemi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ve bu sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n toplam\u0131n\u0131n bilan\u00e7olara 933 milyar dolar olarak i\u015flendi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen GABORAS CEO\u2019su Kurtulu\u015f Altun, ancak big data teknolojisiyle yapt\u0131klar\u0131 tespitlere g\u00f6re asl\u0131nda toplam sat\u0131\u015f hacminin 2.8 trilyon dolar oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.Gayrimenkul\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32206,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[5388],"tags":[14571],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32507"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32507"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32507\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32508,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32507\/revisions\/32508"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/32206"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}