{"id":31098,"date":"2020-01-18T11:01:50","date_gmt":"2020-01-18T08:01:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=31098"},"modified":"2020-01-18T11:01:50","modified_gmt":"2020-01-18T08:01:50","slug":"imsad-2019u-guven-ve-beklentilerdeki-artis-ile-geride-birakti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=31098","title":{"rendered":"\u0130MSAD 2019\u2019u\u00a0g\u00fcven ve beklentilerdeki art\u0131\u015f ile geride b\u0131rakt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130MSAD \u0130<\/strong>n\u015faat Malzemeleri Sanayi Bile\u015fik Endeksi Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, mevsimsellik nedeniyle faaliyetlerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u00fcven ve beklentilerde art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece Bile\u015fik Endeks, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcven ve beklentilerdeki art\u0131\u015f ile geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130n\u015faat Malzemesi Sanayicileri Derne\u011fi (T\u00fcrkiye \u0130MSAD)<\/strong>\u00a0taraf\u0131ndan her ay d\u00fczenli olarak yay\u0131nlanan\u00a0\u0130n\u015faat Malzemeleri Sanayi Bile\u015fik Endeksi<\/strong>\u2019nin\u00a0Aral\u0131k\u00a02019\u00a0<\/strong>sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.\u00a0Bile\u015fik Endeks<\/strong>\u2019te \u015fu bilgiler yer ald\u0131: A\u011fustos ay\u0131ndan sonra Bile\u015fik Endeks\u2019te ya\u015fanan \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda kesintiye u\u011frad\u0131. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda\u00a00,40\u00a0<\/strong>puan d\u00fc\u015fen Bile\u015fik Endeks, dip seviyelerdeki toparlanmas\u0131na mevsimsellik etkisiyle ara verdi. B\u00f6ylece aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faaliyetlerde gerileme ya\u015fanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u00fcven ve beklentilerde art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\u0130n\u015faatta mevsimsellik ile birlikte gerileme ya\u015fand\u0131<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Faaliyet Endeksi\u2019nde eyl\u00fcl ve ekim aylar\u0131ndaki toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndan sonra aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da gerileme ya\u015fand\u0131. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle mevsimsellik ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n etkisini g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan faaliyetler olumsuz etkilendi ve Faaliyet Endeksi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re\u00a02,2\u00a0<\/strong>puan geriledi. Yurti\u00e7i sat\u0131\u015flarda aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. \u0130hracat ilk kez aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda geriledi. \u00dcretimde de gerileme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Cirolar aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda i\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flardaki ve ihracattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak geriledi. \u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri sanayi faaliyetleri son iki ay i\u00e7inde yeniden dura\u011fanla\u015ft\u0131. Faaliyetler \u00fczerinde mevsimselli\u011fin s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 etkisi daha \u00e7ok hissedildi. Ayr\u0131ca in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki yap\u0131sal sorunlar da in\u015faat malzemeleri sanayi faaliyetlerini olumsuz etkilemeye devam etti.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcven konusunda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrd\u00fc<\/strong><\/h2>\n

G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nde aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. B\u00f6ylece G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin dip seviyelerdeki yava\u015f toparlanmas\u0131 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc ay\u0131na girdi. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faaliyetlerde gerilemeye ra\u011fmen g\u00fcven seviyesi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve temkinli art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00fcven seviyesi aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re\u00a00,21<\/strong>\u00a0puan artt\u0131. G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nde son aylarda k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir toparlanma ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcven art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli ko\u015fullar halen yeterince olu\u015fmad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin g\u00fcven seviyesinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131rken in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde g\u00fcven de\u011fi\u015fmedi. \u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri sanayisine g\u00fcvende ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar oldu. Yurti\u00e7i pazarlarda g\u00fcven aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. \u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131nda da g\u00fcven yine \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f sa\u011flad\u0131. G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin t\u00fcm unsurlar\u0131na yay\u0131lan iyile\u015fme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ancak iyile\u015fme daha \u00e7ok ihracattan kaynaklan\u0131yor. \u0130\u00e7 pazarda in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan ve kendi dinamiklerinden kaynaklanan sorunlar g\u00fcveni s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130hracat beklentileri destekledi<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Beklenti Endeksi\u2019nde ise Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Beklentiler faaliyetlerdeki gerilemeye ra\u011fmen art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara ve risklerin tam olarak ortadan kalkmam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen beklentilerde y\u0131l\u0131n art\u0131\u015f ile kapanmas\u0131 olumlu olarak de\u011ferlendirildi. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re\u00a00,3<\/strong>\u00a0puan artan Beklenti Endeksi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin\u00a05,3<\/strong>\u00a0puan alt\u0131nda yer ald\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin beklentiler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 aya ili\u015fkin al\u0131nan yurti\u00e7i sipari\u015flerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131rken, al\u0131nan ihracat sipari\u015fleri aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n \u00fcretim beklentisi de artt\u0131. Yurti\u00e7i sipari\u015flerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen mevsimsel yava\u015flamaya ra\u011fmen artan ihracat sipari\u015fleri \u00fcretim beklentilerini destekledi. Beklentilerde kademeli ve yava\u015f bir iyile\u015fme e\u011filimi olu\u015furken ekonomiye g\u00fcven kademeli olarak iyile\u015fiyor. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki sorunlar ise beklentiler \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 etkiler yaratmaya devam ediyor. \u0130hracat ve ona ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00fcretim, beklentilerdeki iyile\u015fmeyi s\u00fcr\u00fckleyen iki unsur olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle ihracat sipari\u015flerindeki art\u0131\u015f beklentileri destekliyor.<\/p>\n

2019\u2019da ki kay\u0131plar\u0131 son aylarda ya\u015fanan toparlanma telafi edemedi<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri sanayisi 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00f6nemli kay\u0131plar ya\u015fad\u0131. Kay\u0131plar \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eyre\u011finde yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011findeki toparlanma kay\u0131plar\u0131n telafisi i\u00e7in yeterli olamad\u0131. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda Faaliyet Endeksi 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde\u00a015,7<\/strong>\u00a0geriledi. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle in\u015faat malzemeleri sanayi faaliyetleri \u00f6nemli bir daralma ya\u015fad\u0131. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda yurti\u00e7i sat\u0131\u015f endeksi y\u00fczde\u00a020\u00a0<\/strong>d\u00fc\u015ferken, ihracat endeksi y\u00fczde\u00a03,2\u00a0<\/strong>artt\u0131. Sanayi i\u00e7in ihracat 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda kurtar\u0131c\u0131 oldu. Ancak ihracattaki bu art\u0131\u015f i\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flardaki daralmay\u0131 telafi edemedi. Nitekim \u00fcretim endeksi de 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde\u00a019,4\u00a0<\/strong>d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri sanayisinin mali yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen cirolar ise 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda nominal olarak y\u00fczde\u00a016,9\u00a0<\/strong>geriledi. \u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri sanayisi 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki bu y\u00fcksek kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u0131smen telafi etmeyi \u00fcmit ediyor.<\/p>\n

2019\u2019un son \u00e7eyre\u011finde daha \u00e7ok barter teklifi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131ld\u0131<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Bile\u015fik Endeks\u2019te, \u2018in\u015faat malzemeleri \u00fcreticileri ile m\u00fcteahhitler\u2019 ve \u2018sat\u0131\u015f kanallar\u0131 ile m\u00fcteahhitler\u2019 aras\u0131ndaki 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin barter uygulama sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da yer ald\u0131. Barter uygulamas\u0131 ile ilgili tespitler, endeks raporunda \u015f\u00f6yle s\u0131raland\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u0130n\u015faat malzemesi \u00fcreticileri ile m\u00fcteahhitler<\/strong>\u00a0aras\u0131ndaki barter uygulamalar\u0131nda 4 e\u011filim \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor: \u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri \u00fcreticilerinin y\u00fczde\u00a025,9<\/strong>\u2019u 2019 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte malzeme sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda barter teklifi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. Barter teklifi oran\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde yeniden artt\u0131. \u0130n\u015faat malzemeleri \u00fcreticilerinden y\u00fczde\u00a05,6<\/strong>\u2019s\u0131 2019 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda barter y\u00f6ntemini kulland\u0131. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neminde barter yapan in\u015faat malzemesi \u00fcreticilerinin y\u00fczde\u00a090<\/strong>\u2019\u0131 barter sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n toplam sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1-9 aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini belirtti. \u00dcreticilerin y\u00fczde\u00a046,9<\/strong>\u2019u kabul etmedikleri barter teklifleri nedeniyle i\u015f kayb\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131. \u0130\u015f kayb\u0131 oran\u0131 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n


\nSat\u0131\u015f kanallar\u0131 (bayiler yap\u0131 marketler) ile m\u00fcteahhitler<\/strong>\u00a0aras\u0131ndaki barter uygulama sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re sat\u0131\u015f kanallar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a062,5<\/strong>\u2019i 2019 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte malzeme sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda barter teklifi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde barter teklifi oran\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re\u00a05,7\u00a0<\/strong>puan azald\u0131. Sat\u0131\u015f kanallar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a018,8<\/strong>\u2019i son \u00e7eyrek sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda barter y\u00f6ntemini kulland\u0131. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re barter yapanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda barter y\u00f6ntemini kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten sat\u0131\u015f kanallar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a033,3<\/strong>\u2019\u00fc barter sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n toplam sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a010-24<\/strong>\u00a0aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini, y\u00fczde\u00a066,2<\/strong>\u2019si barter sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n toplam sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a025-49<\/strong>\u00a0aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Sat\u0131\u015f kanallar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a076,9<\/strong>\u2019u kabul etmedikleri barter teklifleri nedeniyle i\u015f kayb\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131. \u0130\u015f kayb\u0131 oran\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re azald\u0131 ancak bu oran halen \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bulunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130MSAD \u0130n\u015faat Malzemeleri Sanayi Bile\u015fik Endeksi Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, mevsimsellik nedeniyle faaliyetlerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u00fcven ve beklentilerde art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrd\u00fc. B\u00f6ylece Bile\u015fik Endeks, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcven ve beklentilerdeki art\u0131\u015f ile geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye \u0130n\u015faat Malzemesi Sanayicileri Derne\u011fi (T\u00fcrkiye \u0130MSAD)\u00a0taraf\u0131ndan her ay d\u00fczenli olarak yay\u0131nlanan\u00a0\u0130n\u015faat Malzemeleri Sanayi Bile\u015fik Endeksi\u2019nin\u00a0Aral\u0131k\u00a02019\u00a0sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.\u00a0Bile\u015fik Endeks\u2019te \u015fu bilgiler yer […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[5388],"tags":[8735,11377],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31098"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31098"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31098\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31099,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31098\/revisions\/31099"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25176"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31098"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31098"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31098"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}