{"id":28097,"date":"2019-04-15T10:52:55","date_gmt":"2019-04-15T07:52:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=28097"},"modified":"2019-04-15T10:52:55","modified_gmt":"2019-04-15T07:52:55","slug":"tmb-nisan-2019-insaat-analizi-raporunu-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=28097","title":{"rendered":"TMB nisan 2019 in\u015faat analizi raporunu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>\u201cGeli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n muslu\u011fu a\u00e7mas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f finansmanda destekleyici bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor\u201d<\/h2>\n<p><strong>T\u00fcrk M\u00fcteahhitler, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki yeni proje tutar\u0131n\u0131n Cumhuriyetin 100\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131nda 35 milyar, 2030\u2019larda ise 50 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 seviyelerine y\u00fckseltmeyi ve bu sayede uluslararas\u0131 in\u015faat pazar\u0131ndan al\u0131nan pay\u0131n y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karmay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Jeopolitik riskler bir yana T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu d\u0131\u015f finansman konusunda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n likidite muslu\u011funun yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 destekleyici bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Yerel se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan yeni bir ekonomik reform hamlesiyle, orta ve uzun vadede genel ekonomiyle birlikte in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde de s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6zlenebilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye M\u00fcteahhitler Birli\u011fi (TMB), makro ve mikro ekonomik verileri titiz bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmayla bir araya getirdi\u011fi ve bu nedenle sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yan\u0131 s\u0131ra t\u00fcm ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinin ilgiyle takip etti\u011fi \u0130n\u015faat Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Analizi\u2019nin Nisan 2019 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u00e7eri\u011fi ile yine i\u015fadamlar\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli referans belgelerinden biri olmaya aday \u201cEkonomide G\u00f6zler, Yeni Yol Haritas\u0131nda\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporda, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel ve ulusal geli\u015fmelerin yan\u0131nda t\u00fcm ekonomik veriler de detayl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n<p>Analizde, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin temellerinin sa\u011flam oldu\u011fu ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde toparlanma s\u00fcrecinin, uygulamaya konulacak politikalar\u0131n etki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn yan\u0131 s\u0131ra k\u00fcresel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu d\u0131\u015f finansman konusunda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n likidite muslu\u011funun yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n destekleyici bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi\u011fine i\u015faret edilen \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, k\u00fcresel sermaye ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n dalgalanmas\u0131 ve jeopolitik risklerin artmas\u0131n\u0131n ise T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in sert bir bahar\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi kaydedildi. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede analizde, \u201cEkonomide g\u00fcven art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 s\u00f6ylemler ve eylemler ile \u015feffaf y\u00f6netim anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne dair kapsaml\u0131 ve piyasa dostu bir yakla\u015f\u0131ma her zamankinden fazla ihtiya\u00e7 vard\u0131r. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4,5 y\u0131ll\u0131k se\u00e7imsiz d\u00f6nem sorunlar\u0131n giderilmesi i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat sunmaktad\u0131r\u201d ifadelerine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p>TMB Nisan 2019 \u0130n\u015faat Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Analizi\u2019nde \u00f6zetle \u015fu tespitler yap\u0131ld\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>BEKLENT\u0130 \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 YARIDA \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eME: 31 Mart yerel se\u00e7imlerinin geride kalmas\u0131 ve baz etkinin destekleyici olmas\u0131yla y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon oranlar\u0131nda iyile\u015fmenin ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentileri mevcuttur. Ekonomik aktivitede toparlanma i\u00e7in beklentiler 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na y\u00f6nelmektedir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseltilmesi, teknolojik altyap\u0131 ve e\u011fitim sisteminin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesiyle y\u00fcksek kaliteli ve verimli b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ama\u00e7lanmas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma yolunda gerekli ad\u0131mlar olarak s\u0131ralanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>REFORM HAMLES\u0130YLE \u0130N\u015eAATTA S\u00dcRD\u00dcR\u00dcLEB\u0130L\u0130R B\u00dcY\u00dcME G\u00d6ZLENEB\u0130L\u0130R: \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, do\u011frudan veya dolayl\u0131 olarak pek \u00e7ok alanda yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 mal ve hizmete talebi ile son derece kritik bir misyona sahiptir. Ayr\u0131ca sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 istihdam ve faaliyetlerinin co\u011frafi da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 nedeniyle hem yoksullu\u011fa, hem de b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131 dengesizliklere \u00e7are \u00fcretebilen ger\u00e7ek bir sosyal kriz kalkan\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlanmaktad\u0131r. Sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6viz girdisiyle cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131nda da sekt\u00f6r \u00f6nemli rol \u00fcstlenmektedir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede yerel se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan yeni bir ekonomik reform hamlesiyle, orta ve uzun vadede genel ekonomiyle birlikte in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde de s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6zlenebilecektir.<\/p>\n<p>PPP, MEGA PROJELER VE KENTSEL D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM \u00d6NEML\u0130: Ekonomideki geli\u015fmeler ve sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn i\u00e7 dinamikleri nedeniyle in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki daralman\u0131n 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 da devam etmesi beklenmektedir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem Kamu-\u00d6zel \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi projelerinin verimli olacaklar\u0131 bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve dahilinde devam ettirilmesi, ekonomide g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesiyle mega projelerin uluslararas\u0131 finansmanla hayata ge\u00e7irilmesi ve kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcreci sekt\u00f6r i\u00e7in \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130N\u015eAAT G\u00dcVEN ENDEKS\u0130 \u0130LK \u00c7EYREKTE D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcK SEYR\u0130N\u0130 S\u00dcRD\u00dcRD\u00dc: \u0130n\u015faat Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc G\u00fcven Endeksi, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde daralman\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi i\u015faretlerini vermektedir. Endeks, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ufak art\u0131\u015flarla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Mart ay\u0131nda 54,1 de\u011ferini ta\u015f\u0131yan endeks, ilk \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6nemler itibariyle 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda 80-85 puan ve 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 ise 70-75 puan band\u0131nda seyretmi\u015ftir. Endeksteki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n A\u011fustos-Eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6nemi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>RUHSATA KONU DA\u0130RE SAYISI %53 GER\u0130LED\u0130: \u0130n\u015faat ruhsat\u0131 alan daire say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131l neredeyse 10 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki seviyesine d\u00f6nmesi sekt\u00f6rde artan sorunlar\u0131n etkisiyle frene bas\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yorumlanmaktad\u0131r. T\u00dc\u0130K verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye genelinde konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 aylar\u0131na k\u0131yasla Ocak\u2019ta %24,8, \u015eubat\u2019ta %18,2 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. REIDIN-GYODER verilerine g\u00f6re konut fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flam\u0131\u015f, yeni konut erime h\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Mevcut konut stokunun y\u00f6netilebilmesi i\u00e7in hem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 hem de son t\u00fcketiciye y\u00f6nelik kredi olanaklar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. Sekt\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli finansman sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda, faaliyete ge\u00e7en T\u00fcrkiye Emlak Kat\u0131l\u0131m Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemli i\u015flevler \u00fcstlenebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00dcTEAHH\u0130TLER YURTDI\u015eINDA 10 B\u0130N\u0130NC\u0130 PROJEYE DO\u011eRU \u0130LERL\u0130YOR: Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcteahhitlik hizmetlerinin ise son olarak yeniden 20 &#8211; 30 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 band\u0131na do\u011fru hareket etti\u011fi g\u00f6zlenmektedir. Bu y\u0131l 10 bininci projeye do\u011fru ilerlemekte olan yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcteahhitlik sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u0131ll\u0131k yeni proje tutar\u0131n\u0131n, Cumhuriyetimizin 100\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131nda 35 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131, 2030\u2019larda ise 50 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 seviyelerine y\u00fckseltilmesi ama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r. Bu sayede uluslararas\u0131 pazardan firmalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay %7\u2019lere \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>HEDEF, T\u00dcRK \u0130\u015eG\u00dcC\u00dcN\u00dc 100 B\u0130NE \u00c7IKARMAK: Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 projelerde son y\u0131llarda gerileme g\u00f6steren T\u00fcrk i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istihdam\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcndeki engellerin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak d\u00fczenlemelerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131makta, bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda T\u00fcrk i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 100 bine \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 hedeflenmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>RUSYA VE IRAK \u00d6NEM\u0130N\u0130 KORUYACAK: Ba\u015fta enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve finansman imk\u00e2nlar\u0131 olmak \u00fczere \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 in\u015faat pazar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyecek \u00e7ok \u00e7e\u015fitli unsurlar mevcuttur. Rusya&#8217;da k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede 2012 &#8211; 2015 y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki ortalama 5 &#8211; 6 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131\/y\u0131l potansiyel proje tutar\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Irak\u2019ta bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n tesisiyle ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kurulmas\u0131, sekt\u00f6rel i\u015fbirli\u011fimiz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumlu bir d\u00f6nemin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n sinyallerini vermektedir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T\u00fcrk firmalar\u0131n\u0131n birikmi\u015f alacaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6denmesi ve mevcut projelerin tamamlanmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilecektir. Yeni d\u00f6nemde \u00fclkenin yeniden imar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik projelerde daha etkin rol al\u0131nmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cGeli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n muslu\u011fu a\u00e7mas\u0131 d\u0131\u015f finansmanda destekleyici bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor\u201d T\u00fcrk M\u00fcteahhitler, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki yeni proje tutar\u0131n\u0131n Cumhuriyetin 100\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131nda 35 milyar, 2030\u2019larda ise 50 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 seviyelerine y\u00fckseltmeyi ve bu sayede uluslararas\u0131 in\u015faat pazar\u0131ndan al\u0131nan pay\u0131n y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karmay\u0131 hedefliyor. Jeopolitik riskler bir yana T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu d\u0131\u015f finansman konusunda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[5388],"tags":[7969,8694],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28097"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28097"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28097\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28098,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28097\/revisions\/28098"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26533"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}