{"id":11073,"date":"2017-02-17T22:29:38","date_gmt":"2017-02-17T19:29:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=11073"},"modified":"2018-07-05T15:58:26","modified_gmt":"2018-07-05T12:58:26","slug":"merkez-bankasi-yil-sonu-dolar-tahmin-anketini-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=11073","title":{"rendered":"Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u0131l sonu dolar tahmin anketini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><\/h1>\n<div class=\"image\">\n<div class=\"info\">\u00a0<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9129\" src=\"http:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/headline.jpg\" alt=\"merkez bankas\u0131\" width=\"660\" height=\"330\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"txt\">\n<div class=\"txtIn\">\n<article id=\"contextual\" class=\"selectionShareable\">\n<h2>Merkez Bankas\u0131 beklenti anketine g\u00f6re y\u0131l sonu dolar\/TL tahmini 3.8807 oldu.<\/h2>\n<p>Cari y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,48 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,87&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, 12 ay ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentileri ise s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 8,21 ve y\u00fczde 7,59 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamada \u015fu bilgiler verildi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;2017 y\u0131l\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131 i\u00e7in t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 0,69 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 0,62 olmu\u015ftur. Mart ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 0,76 olmu\u015ftur. Nisan ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 0,95 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE&#8217;nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 24,3 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 7,50-7,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 31,8 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 8,00-8,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 20,2 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 8,50-8,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminlere g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 24,6&#8217;s\u0131n\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 7,50-7,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 38,6&#8217;s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 8,00-8,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 14,0&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin ise y\u00fczde 8,50-8,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir .<\/p>\n<p>2017 y\u0131l\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE&#8217;nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 48,9 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 6,50-7,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 39,5 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 7,50 ve \u00fczerinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminlere g\u00f6re 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 33,9&#8217;unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 6,50-7,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 64,3&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin ise y\u00fczde 7,50 ve \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131&#8217;nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 9,55 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 10,19&#8217;a y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. TCMB A\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Ortalama Fonlama Maliyeti beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 9,13 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 10,37 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>2017 y\u0131l\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, vadesine \u00fc\u00e7 ay ya da \u00fc\u00e7 aya yak\u0131n s\u00fcre kalan Devlet \u0130\u00e7 Bor\u00e7lanma Senetleri&#8217;nin (D\u0130BS) y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik faiz oran\u0131 beklentileri cari ay, 1, 3, 6, 12 ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re artarak s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 10,87, 10,94, 10,89, 10,81, 10,43 ve 10,11 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Vadesine be\u015f y\u0131l ya da be\u015f y\u0131la yak\u0131n s\u00fcre kalan D\u0130BS&#8217;lerin 12 ay sonras\u0131 ikincil piyasa y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 11,03 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 10,97 olmu\u015ftur. Vadesine on y\u0131l ya da on y\u0131la yak\u0131n s\u00fcre kalan D\u0130BS&#8217;lerin 12 ay sonras\u0131 ikincil piyasa y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 11,13 ve y\u00fczde 11,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay ve 3, 6, 12, 24 ay sonras\u0131 beklentileri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 8,00, 8,43, 8,59, 8,52 ve 8,32 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. 2017 y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 3,86 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 3,88 TL olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek 3,96 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 35,4 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 35,6 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 38,2 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 ve 37,9 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>GSYH 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 2,9 olmu\u015ftur. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,6 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Merkez Bankas\u0131 beklenti anketine g\u00f6re y\u0131l sonu dolar\/TL tahmini 3.8807 oldu. Cari y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,48 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,87&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, 12 ay ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentileri ise s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 8,21 ve y\u00fczde 7,59 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. A\u00e7\u0131klamada \u015fu bilgiler [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9129,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[5213],"tags":[961,278,11417,11320,11228,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11073"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11073"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11073\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11074,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11073\/revisions\/11074"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9129"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11073"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11073"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11073"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}