{"id":10818,"date":"2017-02-07T11:17:15","date_gmt":"2017-02-07T08:17:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=10818"},"modified":"2018-07-05T15:55:05","modified_gmt":"2018-07-05T12:55:05","slug":"insaat-sektorunde-2017-analizi-aciklandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/?p=10818","title":{"rendered":"\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 2017 analizi a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"turkiye-muteahhitler-birliginden-is-birligi-aciklamasi\"<\/h1>\n

T\u00fcrkiye M\u00fcteahhitler Birli\u011fi, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonominin seyrinde, Trump y\u00f6netimindeki ABD politikalar\u0131 ile ABD-\u00c7in gerginli\u011finin etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/h1>\n
<\/div>\n
\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n gerek d\u0131\u015fsal, gerek i\u00e7sel risk unsurlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda dalgal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 kaydedilen analizde, \u201cJeopolitik risklerin yurt genelinde artan ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131 ile g\u00fcvenlik riskine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131 ve hali haz\u0131rda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k olan siyasi ajanda ve h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 gibi fakt\u00f6rlerin, \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc daha da bozabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir\u201d ifadelerine yer verildi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye M\u00fcteahhitler Birli\u011fi (TMB) ekonomi \u00e7evreleri taraf\u0131ndan merakla beklenen 2017\u2019nin ilk \u0130n\u015faat Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Analizi\u2019ni yay\u0131mlad\u0131. \u201cABD\u2019de Yeni Ba\u015fkan, D\u00fcnya\u2019da Yeni D\u00fczen\u201d \u00a0ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 analizde, “2016 y\u0131l\u0131 t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada ve T\u00fcrkiye’de belirsizli\u011fin ve karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n olduk\u00e7a artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131l olmu\u015f, y\u0131l boyunca k\u00fcresel ekonomide s\u00fcrekli durgunluk tezi genel kabul g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u201d denildi. Analizde k\u00fcresel ve ulusal ekonomideki g\u00f6stergeler ile \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere yer verildi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrk m\u00fcteahhitlik firmalar\u0131nca 1972\u2019den 2016 sonuna kadar 113 \u00fclkede \u00fcstlenilen proje say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 8 bin 830\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen analizde, toplam bedelin 335 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131 buldu\u011fu duyuruldu. Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcteahhitlik hizmetlerinin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tarihten bu yana \u00fcstlenilen projelerin \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda ya\u015fanan krize ra\u011fmen Rusya (%19.8) ilk s\u0131radaki yerini korudu. \u0130lk 5 s\u0131radaki di\u011fer \u00fclkeler ise T\u00fcrkmenistan (%14.1), Libya (%8.6), Irak (%7.0) ve Kazakistan (%6.4) oldu.<\/p>\n

TMB, 2017\u2019nin ilk analizinde \u00f6zetle \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmelere yer verdi:<\/h2>\n

DURGUNLUK VE B\u00dcY\u00dcYEMEME S\u00dcREC\u0130 AYRILIK\u00c7I POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI G\u00dc\u00c7LEND\u0130RD\u0130: <\/b>2008 krizi ve sonras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler merkezli olarak vuran ve yay\u0131lan durgunluk ile arkas\u0131ndan ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fcyememe s\u00fcreci, mevcut eko-politik sistemlerin sorgulanmas\u0131nda ve k\u00fcreselle\u015fme kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131, ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 politikalar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinde etkili olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n

D\u00dcNYA DENGELER\u0130 RAD\u0130KAL B\u0130R DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M S\u00dcREC\u0130NDEN GE\u00c7\u0130YOR: <\/b>2016 y\u0131l\u0131na, d\u00fcnya dengelerinin radikal bir de\u011fi\u015fim s\u00fcrecinden ge\u00e7ti\u011fi konjonkt\u00fcr, d\u00fcnya ticaret hacminde ya\u015fanan keskin ivme kayb\u0131, \u0130ngiltere’nin referandum sonucu Avrupa Birli\u011fi’nden ayr\u0131lmaya karar vermesi (Brexit), ABD’de Donald Trump’\u0131n ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ilmesi ve t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada beklenmedik bir ABD Dolar\u0131 rallisi ya\u015fanmas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n uzun d\u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyrinden fazlas\u0131yla zarar g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olan Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OPEC) \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerin, Rusya’n\u0131n da deste\u011fiyle \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 karar\u0131 vermeleri, Suriye’de s\u00fcrmekte olan sava\u015f\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclememesi, jeopolitik sars\u0131nt\u0131lar ve paralelinde artan g\u00f6\u00e7 sorunu, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada artan ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 gibi olgular damga vurmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n

T\u00dcRK\u0130YE EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 Y\u00d6NET\u0130LMES\u0130 ZOR B\u0130R S\u00dcRE\u00c7TEN GE\u00c7\u0130YOR:<\/b> B\u00f6ylesi bir d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, \u00fclkenin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu \u00e7alkant\u0131l\u0131 b\u00f6lgeden kaynaklanan jeopolitik sorunlar\u0131, en yak\u0131n kom\u015fular\u0131ndan ve ticaret ortaklar\u0131ndan Rusya ile ya\u015fan\u0131lan krizin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131, Suriye’deki durumun sosyal ve ekonomik maliyetini \u00fcstlenmi\u015f; ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z darbe giri\u015fimini atlatm\u0131\u015f; yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir \u00fclke stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetmi\u015f; AB \u00fcyelik s\u00fcreci fiilen durmu\u015f; yurti\u00e7inde olu\u015fan belirsizliklerle yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kaynaklanan riskler aras\u0131nda, y\u00f6netilmesi olduk\u00e7a zor bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7mektedir.<\/p>\n

DOLAR\u2019IN Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130\u015e\u0130 SADECE \u0130\u00c7 KO\u015eULLARDAN KAYNAKLANMIYOR: <\/b>Amerikan Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f sadece T\u00fcrkiye’nin i\u00e7 ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynaklanmamaktad\u0131r. Ancak ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada en fazla de\u011fer kaybeden para birimlerinden biri olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n

EKONOM\u0130 \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 PLANDA KALDI: <\/b>OHAL uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n uzat\u0131lmas\u0131, ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi operasyonlar ve ba\u015fkanl\u0131k referandumu gibi, ekonominin ikinci planda kalmas\u0131na ve siyasi belirsizliklerin artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7an g\u00fcndem maddeleri, ekonomik aktiviteyi bask\u0131lamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

SADECE \u0130N\u015eAATTA REEL ARTI\u015e KAYDED\u0130LD\u0130: <\/b>Sekt\u00f6rel de\u011ferlendirme bak\u0131m\u0131ndan, \u00fcretim y\u00f6ntemiyle olu\u015fturulan GSYH verilerine g\u00f6re, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ana sekt\u00f6rler aras\u0131nda sadece in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde reel art\u0131\u015f kaydedilmi\u015ftir. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda olumlu bir toparlanma ivmesi yakalayan in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde 9 ayl\u0131k toplam b\u00fcy\u00fcme %7.4 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

YURTDI\u015eI M\u00dcTEAHH\u0130TL\u0130K H\u0130ZMETLER\u0130NDE \u0130VME KAYBED\u0130LD\u0130:<\/b> Genel konjonkt\u00fcrden ve \u00f6zellikle ana pazarlardaki geli\u015fmelerden en a\u011f\u0131r etkilenen sekt\u00f6rlerden birisi olan yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcteahhitlik sekt\u00f6r\u00fc taraf\u0131nda ise, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 maalesef, bu alanda son 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde kazan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olan h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesinin kaybedildi\u011fi bir y\u0131l olmu\u015ftur. T\u00fcrk m\u00fcteahhitlerin yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00fcstlenilen y\u0131ll\u0131k yeni proje tutar\u0131 son 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde 25-30 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 band\u0131na oturmu\u015f durumdayken, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00fcstlenilen yeni proje tutar\u0131 10.1 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131na inmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

TRUMP VE ABD-\u00c7\u0130N GERG\u0130NL\u0130\u011e\u0130 ETK\u0130L\u0130 OLACAK: <\/b>2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonominin seyrinde, Trump y\u00f6netimindeki ABD politikalar\u0131 ile ABD-\u00c7in gerginli\u011fi, FED’in faiz art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcreci, Avrupa se\u00e7imleri, Rusya’n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 siyasette artan rol\u00fc, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n seyri, jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler ve g\u00fcvenlik riskleri gibi unsurlar\u0131n belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilmektedir.<\/p>\n

YILIN \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 YARISINDA ATILACAK ADIMLAR OLUMLU SONU\u00c7 YARATACAKTIR: <\/b>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n gerek d\u0131\u015fsal, gerek i\u00e7sel risk unsurlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda dalgal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilmektedir. Jeopolitik risklerin yurt genelinde artan ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131 ile g\u00fcvenlik riskine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131 ve hali haz\u0131rda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k olan siyasi ajanda ve h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 gibi fakt\u00f6rlerin, \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc daha da bozabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, mevcut belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda i\u015f insanlar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek, devlet de destek mekanizmalar\u0131yla bu s\u00fcreci te\u015fvik etmek i\u00e7in var g\u00fcc\u00fcyle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finden sonra at\u0131lacak h\u0131zl\u0131 ve etkin ad\u0131mlar, i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f politikada yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir atmosferin hakim olmas\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda olumlu yans\u0131yabilecektir.<\/p>\n

VARLIK FONU OLUMLU B\u0130R H\u0130KAYE YARATMA POTANS\u0130YEL\u0130NE SAH\u0130P OLAB\u0130L\u0130R: <\/b>Uzun soluklu perspektif a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, Ulusal Varl\u0131k Fonu kurulmas\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n da bunca olumsuzlu\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131n ilerleyen y\u0131llarda yeni ve olumlu bir hikaye yaratma potansiyeli oldu\u011fu \u00e7e\u015fitli ekonomistlerce dile getirilmektedir. Etkin, \u015feffaf ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir rota \u00e7izilip uygulanmas\u0131 halinde, ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 ve finansal sistemin direnci d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc desteklemek ad\u0131na da T\u00fcrkiye Varl\u0131k Fonu’nun son derece memnuniyet verici sonu\u00e7lar yaratabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirilmekted<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye M\u00fcteahhitler Birli\u011fi, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonominin seyrinde, Trump y\u00f6netimindeki ABD politikalar\u0131 ile ABD-\u00c7in gerginli\u011finin etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n gerek d\u0131\u015fsal, gerek i\u00e7sel risk unsurlar\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda dalgal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 kaydedilen analizde, \u201cJeopolitik risklerin yurt genelinde artan ter\u00f6r olaylar\u0131 ile g\u00fcvenlik riskine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131 ve hali haz\u0131rda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k olan siyasi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10819,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[221,26,97,5388],"tags":[11279,11360,67,1258,7965,11391,556,316,6468],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10818"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10818"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10818\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10820,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10818\/revisions\/10820"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10819"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10818"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10818"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emlaktuel.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10818"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}